# Journal club of one: ”A unifying concept of animal breeding programmes”

The developers of the MoBPS breeding programme simulators have published three papers about it over the last years: one about the MoBPS R package (Pook et al. 2020), one about their web server MoBPSweb (Pook et al. 2021), and one that discusses the logic of the specification for breeding programmes they use in the web interface (Simianer et al. 2021). The idea is that this specification can be used to describe breeding programmes in a precise and interoperable manner. The latter — about breeding programme specification — reads as if the authors had a jolly good time thinking about what breeding and breeding programmes are; at least, I had such feelings while reading it. It is accompanied by an editorial by Simianer (2021) talking about what he thinks are the important research directions for animal breeding research. Using simulation to aid breeding programme design is one of them.

# Defining and specifying breeding programmes

After defining a breeding programme in a narrow genetic sense as a process achieving genetic change (more about that later), Simianer et al. (2021) go on to define a specification of such a breeding programme — or more precisely, of a model of a breeding programme. They use the word ”definition” for both things, but they really talk about two different things: defining what ”a breeding programme” is and specifying a particular model of a particular breeding programme.

Here, I think it is helpful to think of Guest & Martin’s (2020) distinction, borrowed from psychology, between a specification of a model and an implementation of a model. A specification is a description of a model based in natural language or math. Breeding programme modelling often takes the shape of software packages, where the software implementation is the model and a specification is quite vague. Simianer et al. (2021) can be seen as a step towards a way of writing specifications, on a higher level in Guest & Martin’s hierarchy, of what such a breeding programme model should achieve.

They argue that such a specification (”formal description”) needs to be comprehensive, unambiguous and reproducible. They claim that this can be achieved with two parts: the breeding environment and the breeding structure.

The breeding environment includes:

• founder populations,
• quantitative genetic parameters for traits,
• genetic architectures for traits,
• economic values for traits in breeding goal,
• description of genomic information,
• description of breeding value estimation methods.

Thus, the ”formal” specification depends on a lot of information that is either unknowable in practice (genetic architecture), estimated with error (genetic parameters), hard to describe other than qualitatively (founder population) and dependent on particular software implementations and procedures (breeding value estimation). This illustrates the need to distinguish the map from the territory — to the extent that the specification is exact, it describes a model of a breeding programme, not a real breeding programme.

The other part of their specification is the graph-based model of breeding structure. I think this is their key new idea. The breeding structure, in their specification, consists of nodes that represent groups of elementary objects (I would say ”populations”) and edges that represent transformations that create new populations (such as selection or mating) or are a shorthand for repeating groups of edges and nodes.

The elementary objects could be individuals, but they also give the example of gametes and genes (I presume they mean in the sense of alleles) as possible elementary objects. One could also imagine groups of genetically identical individuals (”genotypes” in a plant breeding sense). Nodes contain a given number of individuals, and can also have a duration.

Edges are directed, and correspond to processes such as ageing, selection, reproduction, splitting or merging populations. They will carry attributes related to the transformation. Edges can have a time associated with them that it takes for the transformation to happen (e.g. for animals to gestate or grow to a particular age). Here is an example from Pook et al. (2021) of a breeding structure graph for dairy cattle:

If we ignore the red edges for now, we can follow the flow of reproduction (yellow edges) and selection (green edges): The part on the left is what is going on in the breeding company: cows (BC-Cows) reproduce with selected bulls (BC-SelectedBulls), and their offspring become the next generation of breeding company cows and bulls (BC-NextCows and BC-NextBulls). On the right is the operation of a farm, where semen from the breeding company is used to inseminate cows and heifers (heifer, cow-L1, cow-L2, cow-L3) to produce calfs (calf-h, calf-L1, calf-L2, calf-L3). Each cycle each of these groups, through a selection operation, give rise to the next group (heifers becoming cows, first lactation cows becoming second lactation cows etc).

# Breeding loops vs breeding graphs vs breeding forms

Except for the edges that specify breeding operations, there is also a special meta-edge type, the repeat edge, that is used to simplify breeding graphs with repeated operations.

A useful edge class to describe breeding programmes that are composed of several breeding cycles is ”repeat.” It can be used to copy resulting nodes from one breeding cycle into the nodes of origin of the next cycle, assuming that exactly the same breeding activities are to be repeated in each cycle. The “repeat” edge has the attribute “number of repeats” which allows to determine the desired number of cycles.

In the MoBPSweb paper (Pook et al. 2020), they describe how it is implemented in MoBPS: Given a breeding specification in MoBPSweb JSON format, the simulator will generate a directed graph by copying the nodes on the breeding cycle as many times as is specified by the repeat number. In this way, repeat edges are eliminated to make the breeding graph acyclic.

The conversion of the breeding scheme itself is done by first detecting if the breeding scheme has any “Repeat” edges (Simianer et al. 2020), which are used to indicate that a given part of the breeding programme is carried out multiple times (breeding cycles). If that is the case, it will subsequently check which nodes can be generated without the use of any repeat. Next, all repeats that can be executed based on the already available nodes are executed by generating copies of all nodes between the node of origin and the target node of the repeat (including the node of origin and excluding the target node). Nodes generated via repeat are serial-numbered via “_1,” “_2” etc. to indicate the repeat number. This procedure is repeated until all repeat edges are resolved, leading to a breeding programme without any repeats remaining.

There are at least three ways to specify the breeding structures for breeding programme simulations: these breeding graphs, breeding loops (or more generally, specifying breeding in a programming language) and breeding forms (when you get a pre-defined breeding structure and are allowed fill in the numbers).

If I’m going to compare the graph specification to what I’m more familiar with, this is how you would create a breeding structure in AlphaSimR:

library(AlphaSimR)

## Breeding environment

founderpop <- runMacs(nInd = 100,
nChr = 20)
simparam <- SimParam$new(founderpop) simparam$setSexes("yes_sys")
simparam$addTraitA(nQtlPerChr = 100) simparam$setVarE(h2 = 0.3)

## Breeding structure

n_time_steps <- 10

populations <- vector(mode = "list",
length = n_time_steps + 1)

populations[[1]] <- newPop(founderpop,
simParam = simparam)

for (gen_ix in 2:(n_time_steps + 1)) {

## Breeding cycle happens here

}


In the AlphaSimR script, the action typically happens within the loop. You apply different functions on population objects to make your selection, move individuals between parts of the breeding programme, create offspring etc. That is, in the MoBPS breeding structure, populations are nodes and actions are edges. In AlphaSimR, populations are objects and operations are functions. In order to not have to copy paste your breeding code, you use the control flow structures of R to make a loop (or some functional equivalent). In MoBPS graph structure, in order to not have to create every node and edge manually, you use the Repeat edge.

Breeding graphs with many repeat edges with different times attached to them have the potential to be complicated, and the same is true of breeding loops. I would have to use both of them more to have an opinion about what is more or less intuitive.

Now that we’ve described what they do in the paper, let’s look at some complications.

# Formal specifications only apply to idealised breeding programmes

The authors claim that their concept provides a formal breeding programme specification (in their words, ”formal description”) that can be fully understood and implemented by breeders. It seems like the specification fails to live up to this ambition, and it appears doubtful whether any type of specification can. This is because they do not distinguish between specifying a model of a breeding programme and specifying a real implementation of a breeding programme.

First, as mentioned above, the ”breeding environment” as described by them, contains information that can never be specified for any real population, such as the genetic architecture of complex traits.

Second, their breeding structure is described in terms of fixed numbers, which will never be precise due to mortality, conception rates, logistics and practical concerns. They note such fluctuations in population size as a limitation in the Discussion. To some extent, random mortality, reproductive success etc an be modelled by putting random distributions on various parameters. (I am not sure how easy this is to do in the MoBPS framework; it is certainly possible.) However, this adds uncertainty about what these hyperparameter should be and whether they are realistic.

Such complications would just be nit-picking if the authors had not suggested that their specification can be used to communicate breeding programmes between breeders and between breeders and authorities, such as when a breeding programme is seeking approval. They acknowledge that the authorities, for example in the EU, want more detailed information that are beyond the scope of their specification.

# And the concept is not very formal in the first place

Despite the claimed formality, every class of object in the breeding structure is left open, with many possible actions and many possible attributes that are never fully defined.

It is somewhat ambiguous what is to be the ”formal” specification — it cannot be the description in the paper as it is not very formal or complete; it shouldn’t be the implementation in MoBPS and MoBPSweb, as the concept is claimed to be universal; maybe it is the JSON specification of the breeding structure and background as described in the MoBPSweb paper (Pook et al. 2020). The latter seems the best candidate for a well-defined formal way to specify breeding programme models, but then again, the JSON format appears not to have a published specification, and appears to contain implementation-specific details relating to MoBPS.

This also matters to the suggested use of the specification to communicate real breeding programme designs. What, precisely, is it that will be communicated? Are breed societies and authorities expected to communicate with breeding graphs, JSON files, or with verbal descriptions using their terms (e.g. ”breeding environment”, ”breeding structure”, their node names and parameters for breeding activities)?

# There is almost never a need for a definition

As I mentioned before, the paper starts by asking what a breeding programme is. They refer to different descriptions of breeding programme design from textbooks, and a legal definition from EU regulation 2016/1012; article 2, paragraph 26, which goes:

‘breeding programme’ means a set of systematic actions, including recording, selection, breeding and exchange of breeding animals and their germinal products, designed and implemented to preserve or enhance desired phenotypic and/or genotypic characteristics in the target breeding population.

There seems to be some agreement that a breeding programme, in addition to being the management of reproduction of a domestic animal population, also is systematic and goal-directed activity. Despite these descriptions of breeding programmes and their shared similarity, the authors argue that there is no clear formal definition of what a breeding programme is, and that this would be useful to delineate and specify breeding programmes.

They define a breeding programme as an organised process that aims to change the genetic composition in a desired direction, from one group of individuals to a group of individuals at a later time. The breeding programme comprises those individuals and activities that contribute to this process. For example, crossbred individuals in a multiplier part of a terminal crossbreeding programme would be included to the extent that they contribute information to the breeding of nucleus animals.

We define a breeding programme as a structured, man-driven process in time that starts with a group of individuals X at time $t_1$ and leads to a group of individuals Y at time $t_2 > t_1$. The objective of a breeding programme is to transform the genetic characteristics of group X to group Y in a desired direction, and a breeding programme is characterized by the fact that the implemented actions aim at achieving this transformation.

They actually do not elaborate on what it means that a genetic change has direction, but since they want the definition to apply both to farm animal and conservation breeding programmes, the genetic goals could be formulated both in terms of changes in genetic values for traits and in terms of genetic relationships.

Under many circumstances, this is a reasonable proxy also for an economic target: The breeding structures and interventions considered in theoretical breeding programme designs can often be evaluated in terms of their effect on the response to selection, and if the response improves, so will the economic benefit. However, this definition seems a little unnecessary and narrow. If you wanted to, say, add a terminal crossbreeding step to the simulation and evaluate the performance in terms of the total profitability of the crossbreeding programme (that is, something that is outside of the breeding programme in the sense of the above definition), nothing is stopping you, and the idea is not in principle outside of the scope of animal breeding.

# Finally, an interesting remark about efficiency

When discussing the possibility of using their concept to communicate breeding programmes to authorities when seeking approval the authors argue that authorities should not take efficiency of the breeding programme into account when they evaluate breeding programmes for approval. They state this point forcefully without explaining their reasoning:

It should be noted, though, that an evaluation of the efficiency of breeding programme is not, and should never be, a precondition for the approval of a breeding programme by the authorities.

This raises the question: why not? There might be both environmental, economical and animal ethical reasons to consider not approving breeding programmes that can be shown to make inefficient use of resources. Maybe such evaluation would be impractical — breeding programme analysis and simulation might have to be put on a firmer scientific grounding and be made more reproducible and transparent before we trust it to make such decisions — but efficiency does seem like an appropriate thing to want in a breeding scheme, also from the perspective of society and the authorities.

I am not advocating any particular new regulation for breeding programmes here, but I wonder where the ”should never” came from. This reads like a comment added to appease a reviewer — the passage is missing from the preprint version.

Literature

Pook, T., Schlather, M., & Simianer, H. (2020a). MoBPS-modular breeding program simulator. G3: Genes, Genomes, Genetics, 10(6), 1915-1918. https://academic.oup.com/g3journal/article/10/6/1915/6026363

Pook, T., Büttgen, L., Ganesan, A., Ha, N. T., & Simianer, H. (2021). MoBPSweb: A web-based framework to simulate and compare breeding programs. G3, 11(2), jkab023. https://academic.oup.com/g3journal/article/11/2/jkab023/6128572

Simianer, H., Büttgen, L., Ganesan, A., Ha, N. T., & Pook, T. (2021). A unifying concept of animal breeding programmes. Journal of Animal Breeding and Genetics, 138 (2), 137-150. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jbg.12534

Simianer, H. (2021), Harvest Moon: Some personal thoughts on past and future directions in animal breeding research. J Anim Breed Genet, 138: 135-136. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbg.12538

Guest, O., & Martin, A. E. (2020). How computational modeling can force theory building in psychological science. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 1745691620970585. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1745691620970585

# Paper: ”Genetic variation in recombination rate in the pig”

Our paper on genetic variation in recombination in the pig just came out the other week. I posted about it already when it was a preprint, but we dug a little deeper into some of the results in response to peer review, so let us have a look at it again.

Summary

Recombination between chromosomes during meiosis leads to shuffling of genetic material between chromosomes, creating new combinations of alleles. Recombination rate varies, though, between parts of the genome, between sexes, and between individuals. Illustrating that, here is a figure from the paper showing how recombination rate varies along the chromosomes of the pig genome. Female recombination rate is higher than male recombination rate on most chromosomes, and in particular in regions of higher recombination rate in the middle of certain chromosomes.

Fig 2 from the paper: average recombination rate in 1 Mbp windows along the pig genome. Each line is a population, coloured by sexes.

In several other vertebrates, part of that individual variation in recombination rate (in the gametes passed on by that individual) is genetic, and associated with regions close to known meiosis-genes. It turns out that this is the case in the pig too.

In this paper, we estimated recombination rates in nine genotyped pedigree populations of pigs, and used that to perform genome-wide association studies of recombination rate. The heritability of autosomal recombination rate was around 0.07 in females, 0.05 in males.

The major genome-wide association hit on chromosome 8, well known from other mammals, overlapped the RNF212 gene in most populations in females, and to a lesser extent in males.

Fig 6 from the paper, showing genome-wide association results for eight of the populations (one had too few individuals with recombination rate estimates after filtering for GWAS). The x-axis is position in the genome, and the y-axis is the negative logarithm of the p-value from a linear mixed model with repeated measures.

One of the things we added after the preprint is a meta-analysis of genome-wide association over all the populations (separated by sex). In total, there were six associated regions, five of which are close to known recombination genes: RNF212, SHOC1, SYCP2, MSH4 and HFM1. In particular, several of the candidates are genes involved in whether a double strand break resolves as a crossover or non-crossover. However, we do not have the genomic resolution to know whether these are actually the causative genes; there are significant markers overlapping many genes, and the candidate genes are not always the closest gene.

How well does the recombination landscape agree with previous maps?

The recombination landscapes accord pretty well with Tortereau et al.’s (2012) maps. We find a similar sex difference, with higher recombination in females on all autosomes except chromosome 1 and 13, and a stronger association with GC content in females. However, our recombination rates tend to be higher, possibly due to some overestimation. Different populations, where recombinations are estimated independently, also have similar recombination landscapes.

But it doesn’t agree so well with Lozada-Soto et al. (2021), does it?

No, that is true. Between preprint and finished version, Lozada-Soto et al. (2021) published a genome-wide association study of recombination rate in the pig. They found heritabilities of recombination rate of a similar magnitude as we did, but their genome-wide association results are completely different. We did not find the hits that they found, and they did not find the hits we found, or any previously known candidate genes for recombination. To be honest, I don’t have a good explanation for these differences.

How about recombination hotspots and PRDM9?

At a very fine scale, most recombination tends to occur in hotspots of around a few kilobasepairs. As this study used pedigrees and SNP chips with much coarser density than this, we cannot say much about the fine-scale recombination landscape. We work, at the finest, with windows of 1 Mbp. However, as the pig appears to have a working and rapidly evolving PRDM9 gene (encoding a protein that is responsible for recombination hotspot targeting), the pig probably has a PRDM9-based landscape of hotspots just like humans and mice (Baker et al. 2019).

Tortereau et al. (2012) found a positive correlation between counts of the PRDM9 DNA-binding motif and recombination rate, which is biologically plausible, as more PRDM9 motifs should mean more hotspots. So, we estimated this correlation for comparison, but found only a very weak relationship — this is one point where our results are inconsistent with previous maps. This might be because of changes in improved pig genome assembly we use, or it might be an indication that we have worse genomic resolution due to the genotype imputation involved in our estimation. However, one probably shouldn’t expect to find strong relationships between a process at the kilobasepair-scale when using windows of 1 Mbp in the first place.

Can one breed for increased recombination to improve genetic gain?

Not really. Because recombination breaks up linkage disequlibrium between causative variants, higher recombination rate could reveal genetic variation for selection and improve genetic gain. However, previous studies suggest that recombination rate needs to increase quite a lot (two-fold or more) to substantially improve breeding (Battagin et al. 2016). We made some back of the envelope quantitative genetic calculations on the response to selection for recombination, and it would be much smaller than that.

Literature

Johnsson M*, Whalen A*, Ros-Freixedes R, Gorjanc G, Chen C-Y, Herring WO, de Koning D-J, Hickey JM. (2021) Genetics variation in recombination rate in the pig. Genetics Selection Evolution (* equal contribution)

Tortereau, F., Servin, B., Frantz, L., Megens, H. J., Milan, D., Rohrer, G., … & Groenen, M. A. (2012). A high density recombination map of the pig reveals a correlation between sex-specific recombination and GC content. BMC genomics, 13(1), 1-12.

Lozada‐Soto, E. A., Maltecca, C., Wackel, H., Flowers, W., Gray, K., He, Y., … & Tiezzi, F. (2021). Evidence for recombination variability in purebred swine populations. Journal of Animal Breeding and Genetics, 138(2), 259-273.

Baker, Z., Schumer, M., Haba, Y., Bashkirova, L., Holland, C., Rosenthal, G. G., & Przeworski, M. (2017). Repeated losses of PRDM9-directed recombination despite the conservation of PRDM9 across vertebrates. Elife, 6, e24133.

Battagin, M., Gorjanc, G., Faux, A. M., Johnston, S. E., & Hickey, J. M. (2016). Effect of manipulating recombination rates on response to selection in livestock breeding programs. Genetics Selection Evolution, 48(1), 1-12.

# Preprint: ”Genetics of tibia bone properties of crossbred commercial laying hens in different housing systems”

We have a new preprint posted to Biorxiv looking into the genetic basis of bone strength and other bone properties in crossbred laying hens in two different housing environments (furnished cages and floor pens).

Here are the citation and abstract:

Martin Johnsson, Helena Wall, Fernando A Lopes Pinto, Robert H. Fleming, Heather A. McCormack, Cristina Benavides-Reyes, Nazaret Dominguez-Gasca, Estefania Sanchez-Rodriguez, Ian C. Dunn, Alejandro B. Rodriguez-Navarro, Andreas Kindmark, Dirk-Jan de Koning (2021) Genetics of tibia bone properties of crossbred commercial laying hens in different housing systems. bioRxiv 2021.06.21.449243

Osteoporosis and bone fractures are a severe problem for the welfare of laying hens, with genetics and environment, such as housing system, each making substantial contributions to bone strength. In this work, we performed genetic analyses of bone strength, bone mineral density and bone composition, as well as body weight, in 860 commercial crossbred laying hens from two different companies, kept in either furnished cages or floor pens. We compared bone traits between housing systems and crossbreds, and performed a genome-wide association study of bone properties and body weight.

As expected, the two housing systems produced a large difference in bone strength, with layers housed in floor pens having stronger bones. These differences were accompanied by differences in bone geometry, mineralisation and chemical composition. Genome-scans either combining or independently analysing the two housing systems revealed no genome-wide significant loci for bone breaking strength. We detected three loci for body weight that were shared between the housing systems on chromosomes 4, 6 and 27 (either genome-wide significant or suggestive when the housing systems were analysed individually) and these coincide with associations for bone length.

In summary, we found substantial differences in bone strength, content and composition between hens kept in floor pens and furnished cages that could be attributed to greater physical activity in pen housing. We found little evidence for large-effect loci for bone strength in commercial crossbred hens, consistent with a highly polygenic architecture for bone strength in the production environment. The lack of consistent genetic associations between housing systems in combination with the differences in bone phenotypes support gene-by-environment interactions with housing system.

The background is that bone quality is a serious problem for laying hens; that housing systems that allow for more movement are known to lead to stronger bones; and that previous work on the genetics of bone parameters comes mostly from pure lines or from experimental intercrosses between divergent lines. Here, we study commercial crossbred laying hens from two different companies.

Being housed in a floor pen, where there is more opportunity for physical activity, or in a furnished cage makes a big difference to bone breaking strength. For comparison, we also show body weight, which is not much different between the housing environments. This difference was accompanied by differences in bone composition (see details in the paper).

And here are the Manhattan plots from genome-wide association: bone strength shows no major loci, as opposed to body weight, which has strong associations that are shared between the housing systems.

And if we compare the genome-wide associations, marker for marker, between the housing systems, there is nothing in common between the suggestive associations for bone strength. (Body weight below for comparison.)

This includes not detecting major loci for bone strength that have been found in pure lines of chickens. We think this is due to gene-by-environment interactions with housing (i.e. physical activity). This might be a complication for genomic selection for bone quality, as selection might need to be targeted to different housing systems.

Finally, the three strong association for body weight shown above overlap previously detected loci on chromosomes 4, 6, and 27. We do not have the genomic resolution to nominate candidate genes with any confidence, but the chromosome 4 locus overlaps both the CCKAR gene, which is a strong candidate for growth and body mass in the chicken and the LCORL/NCAPG locus, which has been associated with body size in several species. These regions (plus a fourth one) are also associated with bone length:

# Journal club of one: ”Genome-wide enhancer maps link risk variants to disease genes”

(Here is a a paper from a recent journal club.)

Nasser et al. (2021) present a way to prioritise potential noncoding causative variants. This is part of solving the fine mapping problem, i.e. how to find the underlying causative variants from genetic mapping studies. They do it by connecting regulatory elements to genes and overlapping those regulatory elements with variants from statistical fine-mapping. Intuitively, it might not seem like connecting regulatory elements to genes should be that hard, but it is a tricky problem. Enhancers — because that is the regulatory element most of this is about; silencers and insulators get less attention — do not carry any sequence that tells us what gene they will act on. Instead, this needs to be measured or predicted somehow. These authors go the measurement route, combining chromatin sequencing with chromosome conformation capture.

This figure from the supplementary materials show what the method is about:

Additional figure 1 from Nasser et al. (2021) showing an overview of the workflow and an example of two sets of candidate variants derived from-fine mapping, each with variants that overlap enhancers connected to IL10.

They use chromatin sequence data (such as ATAC-seq, histone ChIP-seq or DNAse-seq) in combination with HiC chromosome conformation capture data to identify enhancers and connect them to genes (this was developed earlier in Fulco et al. 2019). The ”activity-by-contact model” means to multiply the contact frequency (from HiC) between promoter and enhancer with the enhancer activity (read counts from chromatin sequencing), standardised by the total contact–activity product with all elements within a window. Fulco et al. (2019) previously found that this conceptually simple model did well at connecting enhancers to genes (as evaluated with a CRISPR inhibition assay called CRISPRi-FlowFISH, which we’re not going into now, but it’s pretty ingenious).

In order to use this for fine-mapping, they calculated activity-by-contact maps for every gene combined with every open chromatin element within 5 Mbp for 131 samples from ENCODE and other sources. The HiC data were averaged of contacts in ten cell types, transformed to be follow a power-law distribution. That is, they did not do the HiC analysis per cell type, but use the same average HiC contact matrix combined with chromatin data from different cell types. Thus, the specificity comes from the promoters and enhancers that are called as active in each sample — I assume this is because the HiC data comes from a different (and smaller) set of cell types than the chromatin sequencing. Element–gene pairs that reached above a threshold were considered connected, for a total of about six million connections, involving 23,000 genes and 270,000 enhancers. On average, a gene had 2.8 enhancers and an enhancer connected to 2.7 genes.

They picked putative causative variants by overlapping the variant sets with these activity-by-contact maps and selecting the highest scoring enhancer gene pair.They used fine-mapping results from multiple previous studies. These variants were estimated with different methods, but they are all some flavour of fine-mapping by variable selection. Statistical fine mapping estimate sets of variants, called credible sets, that have high posterior probability of being the causative variant. They included only completely noncoding credible sets, i.e. those that did not include a coding sequence or splice variant. They applied this to 72 traits in humans, generating predictions for ~ 5000 noncoding credible sets of variants.

# Did it work?

Variants for fine-mapping were enriched in connected enhancers more than in open chromatin in general, in cell types that are relevant to the traits. In particular, inflammatory bowel disease variants were enriched in enhancers in 65 samples, including immune cell types and gut cells. The strongest enrichment was in activated dendritic cells.

They used a set of genes previously known to be involved in inflammatory bowel disease, assuming that they were the true causative genes for their respective noncoding credible sets, and then compared their activity-by-contact based prioritisation of the causative gene to simply picking the closest gene. Picking the closest gene was right in 30 out of 37 sets. Picking the gene with the highest activity-by-contact score was right in 17 cases out of 18 sets that overlapped an activity-by-contact enhancer. Thus, this method had higher precision but worse recall. They also tested a number of eQTL-based, enrichment and enhancer–gene mapping methods, that did worse.

# What it tells us about causative variants

Most of the putative causative variants, picked based on maximising activity-by-contact, were close to the proposed gene (median 13 kbp) and most involved the closest gene (77%). They were often found their putative causative variants to be located in enhancers that were only active in a few cell- or tissue types (median 4), compared to the promoters of the target genes, that were active in a broader set (median 120). For example, in inflammatory bowel disease, there were several examples where the putatively causal enhancer was only active in a particular immune cell or a stimulated state of an immune cell.

# My thoughts

What I like about this model is that it is so different to many of the integrative and machine learning methods we see in genomics. It uses two kinds of data, and relatively simple computations. There is no machine learning. There is no sequence evolution or conservation analysis. Instead, measure two relevant quantities, standardise and preprocess them a bit, and then multiply them together.

If the success of the activity-by-contact model for prioritising causal enhancers generalises beyond the 18 causative genes investigated in the original paper, this is an argument for simple biology-based heuristics over machine learning models. It also suggest that, in the absence of contact data, one might do well by prioritising variant in enhancers that are highly active in relevant cell types, and picking the closest gene as the proposed causative gene.

However, the dataset needs to cover the relevant cell types, and possibly cells that are in the relevant stimulated states, meaning that it provides a motivation for rich conditional atlas-style datasets of chromatin and chromosome conformation.

I am, personally, a little bit sad that expression QTL methods seem to doing poorly. On the other hand, it makes some sense that eQTL might not have the genomic resolution to connect enhancers to genes.

Finally, if the relatively simple activity-by-contact model or the ridiculously simple method of ”picking the closest gene” beats machine learning models using the same data types and more, it suggests that the machine learning methods might not be solving theright problem. After all, they are not trained directly to prioritise variants for complex traits — because there are too few known causative variants for complex traits.

Literature

Fulco, C. P., Nasser, J., Jones, T. R., Munson, G., Bergman, D. T., Subramanian, V., … & Engreitz, J. M. (2019). Activity-by-contact model of enhancer–promoter regulation from thousands of CRISPR perturbations. Nature genetics.

Nasser, J., Bergman, D. T., Fulco, C. P., Guckelberger, P., Doughty, B. R., Patwardhan, T. A., … & Engreitz, J. M. (2021). Genome-wide enhancer maps link risk variants to disease genes. Nature.

# A genetic mapping animation in R

Cullen Roth posted a beautiful animation of quantitative trait locus mapping on Twitter. It is pretty amazing. I wanted to try to make something similar in R with gganimate. It’s not going to be as beautiful as Roth’s animation, but it will use the same main idea of showing both a test statistic along the genome, and the underlying genotypes and trait values. For example, Roth’s animation has an inset scatterplot that appears above the peak after it’s been reached; to do that I think we would have to go a bit lower-level than gganimate and place our plots ourselves.

First, we’ll look at a locus associated with body weight in chickens (with data from Henriksen et al. 2016), and then a simulated example. We will use ggplot2 with gganimate and a magick trick for combining the two animations. Here are some pertinent snippets of the code; as usual, find the whole thing on Github.

# LOD curve

We will use R/qtl for the linkage mapping. We start by loading the data file (Supplementary Dataset from Henriksen et al. 2016). A couple of individuals have missing covariates, so we won’t be able to use them. This piece of code first reads the cross file, and then removes the two offending rows.

library(qtl)

file = "41598_2016_BFsrep34031_MOESM83_ESM.csv")

cross <- subset(cross, ind = c("-34336", "-34233"))


For nice plotting, let’s restrict ourselves to fully informative markers (that is, the ones that tell the two founder lines of the cross apart). There are some partially informative ones in the dataset too, and R/qtl can get some information out of them thanks to genotype probability calculations with its Hidden Markov Model. They don’t make for nice scatterplots though. This piece of code extracts the genotypes and identifies informative markers as the ones that only have genotypes codes 1, 2 or 3 (homozygote, heterozygote and other homozygote), but not 5 and 6, which are used for partially informative markers.

## Get informative markers and combine with phenotypes for plotting

geno <- as.data.frame(pull.geno(cross,
chr = 1))

geno_values <- lapply(geno, unique)
informative <- unlist(lapply(geno_values,
function(g) all(g %in% c(1:3, NA))))

geno_informative <- geno[informative]


Now for the actual scan. We run a single QTL scan with covariates (sex, batch that the chickens were reared in, and principal components of genotypes), and pull out the logarithm of the odds (LOD) across chromosome 1. This piece of code first prepares a design matrix of the covariates, and then runs a scan of chromosome 1.

## Prepare covariates
pheno <- pull.pheno(cross)

covar <- model.matrix(~ sex_number + batch + PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4 +
PC5 + PC6 + PC7 + PC8 + PC9 + PC10,
pheno,
na.action = na.exclude)[,-1]

scan <- scanone(cross = cross,
pheno.col = "weight_212_days",
method = "hk",
chr = 1,


Here is the LOD curve along chromosome 1 that want to animate. The peak is the biggest-effect growth locus in this intercross, known as ”growth1”.

With gganimate, animating the points is as easy as adding a transition layer. This piece of code first makes a list of some formatting for our graphics, then extracts the LOD scores from the scan object, and makes the plot. By setting cumulative in transition_manual the animation will add one data point at the time, while keeping the old ones.

library(ggplot2)
library(gganimate)

formatting <- list(theme_bw(base_size = 16),
theme(panel.grid = element_blank(),
strip.background = element_blank(),
legend.position = "none"),
scale_colour_manual(values =
c("red", "purple", "blue")))

lod <- as.data.frame(scan)
lod <- lod[informative,]
lod$marker_number <- 1:nrow(lod) plot_lod <- qplot(x = pos, y = lod, data = lod, geom = c("point", "line")) + ylab("Logarithm of odds") + xlab("Position") + formatting + transition_manual(marker_number, cumulative = TRUE)  # Plot of the underlying data We also want a scatterplot of the data. Here what a jittered scatterplot will look like at the peak. The horizontal axes are genotypes (one homozygote, heterozygote in the middle, the other homozygote) and the vertical axis is the body mass in grams. We’ve separated the sexes into small multiples. Whether to give both sexes the same vertical axis or not is a judgement call. The hens weigh a lot less than the roosters, which means that it’s harder to see patterns among them when put on the same axis as the roosters. On the other hand, if we give the sexes different axes, it will hide that difference. This piece of code builds a combined data frame with informative genotypes and body mass. Then, it makes the above plot for each marker into an animation. library(tidyr) ## Combined genotypes and weight geno_informative$id <- pheno$id geno_informative$w212 <- pheno$weight_212_days geno_informative$sex <- pheno$sex_number melted <- pivot_longer(geno_informative, -c("id", "w212", "sex")) melted <- na.exclude(melted) ## Add marker numbers marker_numbers <- data.frame(name = rownames(scan), marker_number = 1:nrow(scan), stringsAsFactors = FALSE) melted <- inner_join(melted, marker_numbers) ## Recode sex to words melted$sex_char <- ifelse(melted\$sex == 1, "male", "female")

plot_scatter <- qplot(x = value,
geom = "jitter",
y = w212,
colour = factor(value),
data = melted) +
facet_wrap(~ factor(sex_char),
ncol = 1) +
xlab("Genotype") +
ylab("Body mass") +
formatting +
transition_manual(marker_number)



# Combining the animations

And here is the final animation:

To put the pieces together, we use this magick trick (posted by Matt Crump). That is, animate the plots, one frame for each marker, and then use the R interface for ImageMagick to put them together and write them out.

gif_lod <- animate(plot_lod,
fps = 2,
width = 320,
height = 320,
nframes = sum(informative))

gif_scatter <- animate(plot_scatter,
fps = 2,
width = 320,
height = 320,
nframes = sum(informative))

## Magick trick from Matt Crump

new_gif <- image_append(c(mgif_lod[1], mgif_scatter[1]))
for(i in 2:sum(informative)){
combined <- image_append(c(mgif_lod[i], mgif_scatter[i]))
new_gif <- c(new_gif, combined)
}

image_write(new_gif, path = "out.gif", format = "gif")



Literature

Henriksen, Rie, et al. ”The domesticated brain: genetics of brain mass and brain structure in an avian species.” Scientific reports 6.1 (2016): 1-9.

# Theory in genetics

A couple of years ago, Brian Charlesworth published this essay about the value of theory in Heredity. He liked the same Sturtevant & Beadle quote that I liked.

Two outstanding geneticists, Alfred Sturtevant and George Beadle, started their splendid 1939 textbook of genetics (Sturtevant and Beadle 1939) with the remark ‘Genetics is a quantitative subject. It deals with ratios, and with the geometrical relationships of chromosomes. Unlike most sciences that are based largely on mathematical techniques, it makes use of its own system of units. Physics, chemistry, astronomy, and physiology all deal with atoms, molecules, electrons, centimeters, seconds, grams—their measuring systems are all reducible to these common units. Genetics has none of these as a recognizable component in its fundamental units, yet it is a mathematically formulated subject that is logically complete and self contained’.

This statement may surprise the large number of contemporary workers in genetics, who use high-tech methods to analyse the functions of genes by means of qualitative experiments, and think in terms of the molecular mechanisms underlying the cellular or developmental processes, in which they are interested. However, for those who work on transmission genetics, analyse the genetics of complex traits, or study genetic aspects of evolution, the core importance of mathematical approaches is obvious.

Maybe this comes a surprise to some molecularly minded biologists; I doubt those working adjacent to a field called ”biophysics” or trying to understand what on Earth a ”t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding” does to turn single-cell sequences into colourful blobs will have missed that there are quantitative aspects to genetics.

Anyways, Sturtevant & Beadle (and Charlesworth) are thinking of another kind of quantitation: they don’t just mean that maths is useful to geneticists, but of genetics as a particular kind of abstract science with its own concepts. It’s the distinction between viewing genetics as chemistry and genetics as symbols. In this vein, Charlesworth makes the distinction between statistical estimation and mathematical modelling in genetics, and goes on to give examples of the latter by an anecdotal history models of genetic variation, eventually going deeper into linkage disequilibrium. It’s a fun read, but it doesn’t really live up to the title by spelling out actual arguments for mathematical models, other than the observation that they have been useful in population genetics.

The hypothetical recurring reader will know this blog’s position on theory in genetics: it is useful, not just for theoreticians. Consequently, I agree with Charlesworth that formal modelling in genetics is a good thing, and that there is (and ought to be more of) constructive interplay between data and theory. I like that he suggests that mathematical models don’t even have to be that sophisticated to be useful; even if you’re not a mathematician, you can sometimes improve your understanding by doing some sums. He then takes that back a little by telling a joke about how John Maynard Smith’s paper on hitch-hiking was so difficult that only two researchers in the country could be smart enough to understand it. The point still stands. I would add that this applies to even simpler models than I suspect that Charlesworth had in mind. Speaking from experience, a few pseudo-random draws from a binomial distribution can sometimes clear your head about a genetic phenomenon, and while this probably won’t amount to any great advances in the field, it might save you days of fruitless faffing.

As it happens, I also recently read this paper (Robinaugh et al. 2020) about the value of formal theory in psychology, and in many ways, it makes explicit some things that Charlesworth’s essay doesn’t spell out, but I think implies: We want our scientific theories to explain ”robust, generalisable features of the world” and represent the components of the world that give rise to those phenomena. Formal models, expressed in precise languages like maths and computational models are preferable to verbal models, that express the structure of a theory in words, because these precise languages make it easier to deduce what behaviour of the target system that the model implies. Charlesworth and Robinaugh et al. don’t perfectly agree. For one thing, Robinaugh et al. seem to suggest that a good formal model should be able to generate fake data that can be compared to empirical data summaries and give explanations of computational models, while Charlesworth seems to view simulation as an approximation one sometimes has to resort to.

However, something that occurred to me while reading Charlesworth’s essay was the negative framing of why theory is useful. This is how Charlesworth recommends mathematical modelling in population genetic theory, by approvingly repeating this James Crow quote:

I hope to have provided evidence that the mathematical modelling of population genetic processes is crucial for a proper understanding of how evolution works, although there is of course much scope for intuition and verbal arguments when carefully handled (The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection is full of examples of these). There are many situations in which biological complexity means that detailed population genetic models are intractable, and where we have to resort to computer simulations, or approximate representations of the evolutionary process such as game theory to produce useful results, but these are based on the same underlying principles. Over the past 20 years or so, the field has moved steadily away from modelling evolutionary processes to developing statistical tools for estimating relevant parameters from large datasets (see Walsh and Lynch 2017 for a comprehensive review). Nonetheless, there is still plenty of work to be done on improving our understanding of the properties of the basic processes of evolution.

The late, greatly loved, James Crow used to say that he had no objection to graduate students in his department not taking his course on population genetics, but that he would like them to sign a statement that they would not make any pronouncements about evolution. There are still many papers published with confused ideas about evolution, suggesting that we need a ‘Crow’s Law’, requiring authors who discuss evolution to have acquired a knowledge of basic population genetics.

This is one of the things I prefer about Robinaugh et al.’s account: To them, theory is not mainly about clearing up confusion and wrongness, but about developing ideas by checking their consistency with data, and exploring how they can be modified to be less wrong. And when we follow Charlesworth’s anecdotal history of linked selection, it can be read as sketching a similar path. It’s not a story about some people knowing ”basic population genetics” and being in the right, and others now knowing it and being confused (even if that surely happens also); it’s about a refinement of models in the face of data — and probably vice versa.

If you listen to someone talking about music theory, or literary theory, they will often defend themselves against the charge that theory drains their domain of the joy and creativity. Instead, they will argue that theory helps you appreciate the richness of music, and gives you tools to invent new and interesting music. You stay ignorant of theory at your own peril, not because you risk doing things wrong, but because you risk doing uninteresting rehashes, not even knowing what you’re missing. Or something like that. Adam Neely (”Why you should learn music theory”, YouTube video) said it better. Now, the analogy is not perfect, because the relationship between empirical data and theory in genetics is such that the theory really does try to say true or false things about the genetics in a way that music theory (at least as practiced by music theory YouTubers) does not. I still think there is something to be said for theory as a tool for creativity and enjoyment in genetics.

Literature

Charlesworth, B. (2019). In defence of doing sums in genetics. Heredity, 123(1), 44-49.

Robinaugh, D., Haslbeck, J., Ryan, O., Fried, E. I., & Waldorp, L. (2020). Invisible hands and fine calipers: A call to use formal theory as a toolkit for theory construction. Paper has since been published in a journal, but I read the preprint.

# The word ”genome”

The sources I’ve seen attribute the coinage of ”genome” to botanist Hans Winkler (1920, p. 166).

The pertinent passage goes:

Ich schlage vor, für den haploiden Chromosomensatz, der im Verein mit dem zugehörigen Protoplasma die materielle Grundlage der systematischen Einheit darstellt den Ausdruck: das Genom zu verwenden … I suggest to use the expression ”the genome” for the haploid set of chromosomes, which together with the protoplasm it belongs with make up the material basis of the systematic unit …

That’s good, but why did Winkler need this term in the first place? In this chapter, he is dealing with the relationship between chromosome number and mode of reproduction. Of course, he’s going to talk about hybridization and ploidy, and he needs some terms to bring order to the mess. He goes on to coin a couple of other concepts that I had never heard of:

… und Kerne, Zellen und Organismen, in denen ein gleichartiges Genom mehr als einmal in jedem Kern vorhanden ist, homogenomatisch zu nennen, solche dagegen, die verschiedenartige Genome im Kern führen, heterogenomatisch.

So, a homogenomic organism has more than one copy of the same genome in its nuclei, while a heterogenomic organism has multiple genomes. He also suggests you could count the genomes, di-, tri- up to polygenomic organisms. He says that this is a different thing than polyploidy, which is when an organism has multiples of a haploid chromosome set. Winkler’s example: A hybrid between a diploid species with 10 chromosomes and another diploid species with 16 chromosomes might have 13 chromosomes and be polygenomic but not polyploid.

These terms don’t seem to have stuck as much, but I found them used here en there, for example in papers on bananas (Arvanitoyannis et al. 2008) and cotton (Brown & Menzel 1952); cooking bananas are heterogenomic.

This only really makes sense in cases with recent hybridisation, where you can trace different chromosomes to origins in different species. You need to be able to trace parts of the hybrid genome of the banana to genomes of other species. Otherwise, the genome of the banana just the genome of the banana.

Analogously, we also find polygenomes in this cancer paper (Navin et al. 2010):

We applied our methods to 20 primary ductal breast carcinomas, which enable us to classify them according to whether they appear as either monogenomic (nine tumors) or polygenomic (11 tumors). We define ”monogenomic” tumors to be those consisting of an apparently homogeneous population of tumor cells with highly similar genome profiles throughout the tumor mass. We define ”polygenomic” tumors as those containing multiple tumor subpopulations that can be distinguished and grouped by similar genome structure.

This makes sense; if a tumour has clones of cells in it with a sufficiently rearranged genome, maybe it is fair to describe it as a tumour with different genomes. It raises the question what is ”sufficiently” different for something to be a different genome.

How much difference can there be between sequences that are supposed to count as the same genome? In everything above, we have taken a kind of typological view: there is a genome of an individual, or a clone of cells, that can be thought of as one entity, despite the fact that every copy of it, in every different cell, is likely to have subtle differences. Philosopher John Dupré (2010), in ”The Polygenomic Organism”, questions what we mean by ”the genome” of an organism. How can we talk about an organism having one genome or another, when in fact, every cell in the body goes through mutation (actually, Dupré spends surprisingly little time on somatic mutation but more on epigenetics, but makes a similar point), sometimes chimerism, sometimes programmed genome rearrangements?

The genome is related to types of organism by attempts to find within it the essence of a species or other biological kind. This is a natural, if perhaps naïve, interpretation of the idea of the species ‘barcode’, the use of particular bits of DNA sequence to define or identify species membership. But in this paper I am interested rather in the relation sometimes thought to hold between genomes of a certain type and an individual organism. This need not be an explicitly essentialist thesis, merely the simple factual belief that the cells that make up an organism all, as a matter of fact, have in common the inclusion of a genome, and the genomes in these cells are, barring the odd collision with a cosmic ray or other unusual accident, identical.

Dupré’s answer is that there probably isn’t a universally correct way to divide living things into individuals, and what concept of individuality one should use really depends on what one wants to do with it. I take this to mean that it is perfectly fine to gloss over real biological detail, but that we need to keep in mind that they might unexpectedly start to matter. For example, when tracing X chromosomes through pedigrees, it might be fine to ignore that X-inactivation makes female mammals functionally mosaic–until you start looking at the expression of X-linked traits.

Photo of calico cat in Amsterdam by SpanishSnake (CC0 1.0). See, I found a reason to put in a cat picture!

Finally, the genome exists not just in the organism, but also in the computer, as sequences, maps and obscure bioinformatics file formats. Arguably, keeping the discussion above in mind, the genome only exists in the computer, as a scientific model of a much messier biology. Szymanski, Vermeulen & Wong (2019) investigate what the genome is by looking at how researchers talk about it. ”The genome” turns out to be many things to researchers. Here they are writing about what happened when the yeast genetics community created a reference genome.

If the digital genome is not assumed to solely a representation of a physical genome, we might instead see ”the genome” as a discursive entity moving from the cell to the database but without ever removing ”the genome” from the cell, aggregating rather than excluding. This move and its inherent multiplying has consequences for the shape of the community that continues to participate in constructing the genome as a digital text. It also has consequences for the work the genome can perform. As Chadarevian (2004) observes for the C. elegans genome sequence, moving the genome from cell to database enables it to become a new kind of mapping tool …

/…/

Consequently, the informational genome can be used to manufacture coherence across knowledge generated by disparate labs by making it possible to line up textual results – often quite literally, in the case of genome sequences as alphabetic texts — and read across them.

/…/

Prior to the availability of the reference genome, such coherence across the yeast community was generated by strain sharing practices and standard protocols and notation for documenting variation from the reference strain, S288C, authoritatively embodied in living cells housed at Mortimer’s stock center. After the sequencing project, part of that work was transferred to the informational, textual yeast genome, making the practice of lining up and making the same available to those who worked with the digital text as well as those who worked with the physical cell.

And that brings us back to Winkler: What does the genome have in common? That it makes up the basis for the systematic unit, that it belongs to organisms that we recognize as closely related enough to form a systematic unit.

Literature

Winkler H. (1920) Verbreitung und Ursache der Parthenogenesis im Pflanzen- und Tierreiche.

Arvanitoyannis, Ioannis S., et al. ”Banana: cultivars, biotechnological approaches and genetic transformation.” International journal of food science & technology 43.10 (2008): 1871-1879.

Navin, Nicholas, et al. ”Inferring tumor progression from genomic heterogeneity.” Genome research 20.1 (2010): 68-80.

Brown, Meta S., and Margaret Y. Menzel. ”Polygenomic hybrids in Gossypium. I. Cytology of hexaploids, pentaploids and hexaploid combinations.” Genetics 37.3 (1952): 242.

Dupré, John. ”The polygenomic organism.” The Sociological Review 58.1_suppl (2010): 19-31.

Szymanski, Erika, Niki Vermeulen, and Mark Wong. ”Yeast: one cell, one reference sequence, many genomes?.” New Genetics and Society 38.4 (2019): 430-450.

# A model of polygenic adaptation in an infinite population

How do allele frequencies change in response to selection? Answers to that question include ”it depends”, ”we don’t know”, ”sometimes a lot, sometimes a little”, and ”according to a nonlinear differential equation that actually doesn’t look too horrendous if you squint a little”. Let’s look at a model of the polygenic adaptation of an infinitely large population under stabilising selection after a shift in optimum. This model has been developed by different researchers over the years (reviewed in Jain & Stephan 2017).

Here is the big equation for allele frequency change at one locus:

$\dot{p}_i = -s \gamma_i p_i q_i (c_1 - z') - \frac{s \gamma_i^2}{2} p_i q_i (q_i - p_i) + \mu (q_i - p_i )$

That wasn’t so bad, was it? These are the symbols:

• the subscript i indexes the loci,
• $\dot{p}$ is the change in allele frequency per time,
• $\gamma_i$ is the effect of the locus on the trait (twice the effect of the positive allele to be precise),
• $p_i$ is the frequency of the positive allele,
• $q_i$ the frequency of the negative allele,
• $s$ is the strength of selection,
• $c_1$ is the phenotypic mean of the population; it just depends on the effects and allele frequencies
• $\mu$ is the mutation rate.

This breaks down into three terms that we will look at in order.

# The directional selection term

$-s \gamma_i p_i q_i (c_1 - z')$

is the term that describes change due to directional selection.

Apart from the allele frequencies, it depends on the strength of directional selection $s$, the effect of the locus on the trait $\gamma_i$ and how far away the population is from the new optimum $(c_1 - z')$. Stronger selection, larger effect or greater distance to the optimum means more allele frequency change.

It is negative because it describes the change in the allele with a positive effect on the trait, so if the mean phenotype is above the optimum, we would expect the allele frequency to decrease, and indeed: when

$(c_1 - z') < 0$

this term becomes negative.

If you neglect the other two terms and keep this one, you get Jain & Stephan's "directional selection model", which describes behaviour of allele frequencies in the early phase before the population has gotten close to the new optimum. This approximation does much of the heavy lifting in their analysis.

# The stabilising selection term

$-\frac{s \gamma_i^2}{2} p_i q_i (q_i - p_i)$

is the term that describes change due to stabilising selection. Apart from allele frequencies, it depends on the square of the effect of the locus on the trait. That means that, regardless of the sign of the effect, it penalises large changes. This appears to make sense, because stabilising selection strives to preserve traits at the optimum. The cubic influence of allele frequency is, frankly, not intuitive to me.

# The mutation term

Finally,

$\mu (q_i - p_i )$

is the term that describes change due to new mutations. It depends on the allele frequencies, i.e. how of the alleles there are around that can mutate into the other alleles, and the mutation rate. To me, this is the one term one could sit down and write down, without much head-scratching.

# Walking in allele frequency space

Jain & Stephan (2017) show a couple of examples of allele frequency change after the optimum shift. Let us try to draw similar figures. (Jain & Stephan don’t give the exact parameters for their figures, they just show one case with effects below their threshold value and one with effects above.)

First, here is the above equation in R code:

pheno_mean <- function(p, gamma) {
sum(gamma * (2 * p - 1))
}

allele_frequency_change <- function(s, gamma, p, z_prime, mu) {
-s * gamma * p * (1 - p) * (pheno_mean(p, gamma) - z_prime) +
- s * gamma^2 * 0.5 * p * (1 - p) * (1 - p - p) +
mu * (1 - p - p)
}


With this (and some extra packaging; code on Github), we can now plot allele frequency trajectories such as this one, which starts at some arbitrary point and approaches an optimum:

Animation of alleles at two loci approaching an equilibrium. Here, we have two loci with starting frequencies 0.2 and 0.1 and effect size 1 and 0.01, and the optimum is at 0. The mutation rate is 10-4 and the strength of selection is 1. Animation made with gganimate.

# Resting in allele frequency space

The model describes a shift from one optimum to another, so we want want to start at equilibrium. Therefore, we need to know what the allele frequencies are at equilibrium, so we solve for 0 allele frequency change in the above equation. The first term will be zero, because

$(c_1 - z') = 0$

when the mean phenotype is at the optimum. So, we can throw away that term, and factor the rest equation into:

$(1 - 2p) (-\frac{s \gamma ^2}{2} p(1-p) + \mu) = 0$

Therefore, one root is $p = 1/2$. Depending on your constitution, this may or may not be intuitive to you. Imagine that you have all the loci, each with a positive and negative allele with the same effect, balanced so that half the population has one and the other half has the other. Then, there is this quadratic equation that gives two other equilibria:

$\mu - \frac{s\gamma^2}{2}p(1-p) = 0$
$\implies p = \frac{1}{2} (1 \pm \sqrt{1 - 8 \frac{\mu}{s \gamma ^2}})$

These points correspond to mutation–selection balance with one or the other allele closer to being lost. Jain & Stephan (2017) show a figure of the three equilibria that looks like a semicircle (from the quadratic equation, presumably) attached to a horizontal line at 0.5 (their Figure 1). Given this information, we can start our loci out at equilibrium frequencies. Before we set them off, we need to attend to the effect size.

# How big is a big effect? Hur långt är ett snöre?

In this model, there are big and small effects with qualitatively different behaviours. The cutoff is at:

$\hat{\gamma} = \sqrt{ \frac{8 \mu}{s}}$

If we look again at the roots to the quadratic equation above, they can only exist as real roots if

$\frac {8 \mu}{s \gamma^2} < 1$

because otherwise the expression inside the square root will be negative. This inequality can be rearranged into:

$\gamma^2 > \frac{8 \mu}{s}$

This means that if the effect of a locus is smaller than the threshold value, there is only one equilibrium point, and that is at 0.5. It also affects the way the allele frequency changes. Let us look at two two-locus cases, one where the effects are below this threshold and one where they are above it.

threshold <- function(mu, s) sqrt(8 * mu / s)

threshold(1e-4, 1)

[1] 0.02828427

With mutation rate of 10-4 and strength of selection of 1, the cutoff is about 0.028. Let our ”big” loci have effect sizes of 0.05 and our small loci have effect sizes of 0.01, then. Now, we are ready to shift the optimum.

The small loci will start at an equilibrium frequency of 0.5. We start the large loci at two different equilibrium points, where one positive allele is frequent and the other positive allele is rare:

get_equilibrium_frequencies <- function(mu, s, gamma) {
c(0.5,
0.5 * (1 + sqrt(1 - 8 * mu / (s * gamma^2))),
0.5 * (1 - sqrt(1 - 8 * mu / (s * gamma^2))))
}

(eq0.05 <- get_equilibrium_frequencies(1e-4, 1, 0.05))

[1] 0.50000000 0.91231056 0.08768944
get_equlibrium_frequencies(1e-4, 1, 0.01)

[1] 0.5 NaN NaN

# Look at them go!

These animations show the same qualitative behaviour as Jain & Stephan illustrate in their Figure 2. With small effects, there is gradual allele frequency change at both loci:

However, with large effects, one of the loci (the one on the vertical axis) dramatically changes in allele frequency, that is it’s experiencing a selective sweep, while the other one barely changes at all. And the model will show similar behaviour when the trait is properly polygenic, with many loci, as long as effects are large compared to the (scaled) mutation rate.

Here, I ran 10,000 time steps; if we look at the phenotypic means, we can see that they still haven’t arrived at the optimum at the end of that time. The mean with large effects is at 0.089 (new optimum of 0.1), and the mean with small effects is 0.0063 (new optimum: 0.02).

Let’s end here for today. Maybe another time, we can return how this model applies to actually polygenic architectures, that is, with more than two loci. The code for all the figures is on Github.

Literature

Jain, K., & Stephan, W. (2017). Modes of rapid polygenic adaptation. Molecular biology and evolution, 34(12), 3169-3175.

# The genomic scribe in hyperspace

When I was in school (it must have been in gymnasiet, roughly corresponding to secondary school or high school), I remember giving a presentation on a group project about the human genome project, and using the illiterate copyist analogy. After sequencing the human genome, we are able to blindly copy the text of life; we still need to learn to read it. At this point, I had no clue whatsoever that I would be working in genetics in the future. I certainly felt very clever coming up with that image. I must have read it somewhere.

If it is true that the illiterate scribe is a myth, and they must have had at least some ability to read, that makes the analogy more apt: even in 2003, researchers actually had a fairly good idea of how to read certain aspects of genetics. The genetic code is from 1961, for crying out loud (Yanofsky 2007)!

My classroom moment must have been around 2003, which is the year the ENCODE project started, aiming to do just that: create an encyclopedia (or really, a critical apparatus) of the human genome. It’s still going: a drove of papers from its third phase came out last year, and apparently it’s now in the fourth phase. ENCODE can’t be a project in the usual sense of a planned undertaking with a defined goal, but rather a research programme in the general direction of ”a comprehensive parts list of functional elements in the human genome” (ENCODE FAQ). Along with the phase 3 empirical papers, they published a fun perspective article (The ENCODE Project Consortium et al. 2020).

ENCODE commenced as an ambitious effort to comprehensively annotate the elements in the human genome, such as genes, control elements, and transcript isoforms, and was later expanded to annotate the genomes of several model organisms. Mapping assays identified biochemical activities and thus candidate regulatory elements.

The age means that ENCODE has lived through generations of genomic technologies. Phase 1 was doing functional genomics with microarrays, which now sounds about as quaint as doing it with blots. Nowadays, they have CRISPR-based editing assays and sequencing methods for chromosome 3D structure that just seem to keep adding Cs to their acronyms.

Last time I blogged about the ENCODE project was in 2013 (in Swedish), in connection with the opprobrium about junk DNA. If you care about junk DNA, check out Sean Eddy’s FAQ (Eddy 2012). If you still want to be angry about what percentage of the genome has function, what gene concepts are useful and the relationship between quantitative genetics and genomics, check out this Nature Video. It’s funny, because the video pre-empts some of the conclusions of the perspective article.

The video says: to do many of the potentially useful things we want to do with genomes (like sock cancer in the face, presumably), we need to look at individual differences (”between you, and you, and you”) and how they relate to traits. And an encyclopedia, great as it may be, is not going to capture that.

The perspective says:

It is now apparent that elements that govern transcription, chromatin organization, splicing, and other key aspects of genome control and function are densely encoded in the human genome; however, despite the discovery of many new elements, the annotation of elements that are highly selective for particular cell types or states is lagging behind. For example, very few examples of condition-specific activation or repression of transcriptional control elements are currently annotated in ENCODE. Similarly, information from human fetal tissue, reproductive organs and primary cell types is limited. In addition, although many open chromatin regions have been mapped, the transcription factors that bind to these sequences are largely unknown, and little attention has been devoted to the analysis of repetitive sequences. Finally, although transcript heterogeneity and isoforms have been described in many cell types, full-length transcripts that represent the isoform structure of spliced exons and edits have been described for only a small number of cell types.

That is, the future of genomics is in variation. We want to know about: organismic/developmental background (cell lines vs primary vs induced vs tissue), environmental variation (condition-dependence), genetic variation (gene editing assays that change local genetic variants, the genetic background of different cell line and human genomes), dynamics (time and induction). To put it in plain terms: We need to know how the genome regulation of different cells and individuals are different, and what that does to them. To put it in fancy terms: we are moving towards cellular phenomics, quantitative genomics, and an ever-expanding hypercube of data.

Literature

Eddy, S. R. (2012). The C-value paradox, junk DNA and ENCODE. Current biology, 22(21), R898-R899.

ENCODE Project Consortium, Snyder, M. P., Gingeras, T. R., Moore, J. E., Weng, Z., Gerstein, M. B., Ren, B., … & Myers, R. M. (2020). Perspectives on ENCODE. Nature, 583(7818), 693-698.

Yanofsky, C. (2007). Establishing the triplet nature of the genetic code. Cell, 128(5), 815-818.

# My talk at the ChickenStress Genomics and Bioinformatics Workshop

A few months ago I gave a talk at the ChickenStress Genomics and Bioinformatics Workshop about genetic mapping of traits and gene expression.

ChickenStress is a European training network of researchers who study stress in chickens, as you might expect. It brings together people who work with (according to the work package names) environmental factors, early life experiences and genetics. The network is centered on a group of projects by early stage researchers — by the way, I think that’s a really good way to describe the work of a PhD student — and organises activities like this workshop.

I was asked to talk about our work from my PhD on gene expression and behaviour in the chicken (Johnsson & al. 2018, Johnsson & al. 2016), concentrating on concepts and methods rather than results. If I have any recurring readers, they will already know that brief is exactly what I like to do. I talked about the basis of genetic mapping of traits and gene expression, what data one needs to do it, and gave a quick demo for a flavour of an analysis workflow (linear mixed model genome-wide association in GEMMA).

Here are slides, and the git repository of the demo: